Sports wagering can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets this “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a best example. I analyzed the particular West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had the particular edge in the video game. However , I actually also recognized that there was a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This video game possesses all the indications of being one associated with the greatest games of the year, having the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down major in the independence day one fourth to winning in overtime.
So what’s the sport look like this year?
When this sport were as played on a basic field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROAD games.
These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular extra bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like very much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that extra point can make the variation between a push in addition to a loss.
But what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since December 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points per game at your home, while averaging only letting go of 15. six points every game on home. In case a person don’t do the math, that means given that their very own last home damage they have already averaged beating their very own adversaries by about thirty four details per game.
Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by means of 13 points per activity at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Almost all of those stats ended up developed during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They’ve acquired recent games through which they are yet to only scored 28, 3, 24 points. These types of games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still a good close video game to phone. Nonetheless ff55here i look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this kind of game and definitely not wager at all. There are better activities this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return the punt for a new TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big that they can could very well still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific video game, people critical concerning gambling saved money these people can offer better employ on forthcoming games.